Deception Detection in Politics: Can Voters Tell When Politicians are Lying?

Author: Mattes, Kyle; Popova, Valeriia; Evans, Jacqueline R. Description: In this study, we investigate voters’ unaided perceptions of whether politicians are lying. We conduct an experiment in which participants attempt to uncover politicians’ dishonesty by watching videos of their speeches. We find that verbal cues (specifically, the amount of detail in the speech) and general demeanor cues explain the success (failure) of veracity judgments far better than paraverbal and nonverbal cues. We also find evidence of a truth bias-people are more likely to judge statements to be true than false-despite…

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Thunderstorm straight line winds intensify with climate change

Author: Prein, Andreas F. Description: Straight line winds (SLWs), or non-tornadic thunderstorm winds, are causing widespread damage in many regions around the world. These powerful gusts are associated with strong downdraughts in thunderstorms, rear inflow jets and mesovortices. Despite their significance, our understanding of climate change effects on SLWs remains limited. Here, focusing on the central USA, a global hot spot for SLWs, I use observations, high-resolution modelling and theoretical considerations to show that SLWs have intensified over the past 40 years. Theoretical considerations suggest that SLWs should intensify at…

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Enhanced stability of grassland soil temperature by plant diversity

Author: Huang, Yuanyuan; Stein, Gideon; Kolle, Olaf; Kübler, Karl; Schulze, Ernst-Detlef; Dong, Hui; Eichenberg, David; Gleixner, Gerd; Hildebrandt, Anke; Lange, Markus; Roscher, Christiane; Schielzeth, Holger; Schmid, Bernhard; Weigelt, Alexandra; Weisser, Wolfgang W.; Shadaydeh, Maha; Denzler, Joachim; Ebeling, Anne; Eisenhauer, Nico Description: Extreme weather events are occurring more frequently, and research has shown that plant diversity can help mitigate the impacts of climate change by increasing plant productivity and ecosystem stability. Although soil temperature and its stability are key determinants of essential ecosystem processes, no study has yet investigated whether plant…

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The soil microbiome governs the response of microbial respiration to warming across the globe

Author: Saez-Sandino, Tadeo; Garci­a-Palacios, Pablo; Maestre, Fernando T.; Plaza, Cesar; Guirado, Emilio; Singh, Brajesh K.; Wang, Juntao; Cano-Diaz, Concha; Eisenhauer, Nico; Gallardo, Antonio; Delgado-Baquerizo, Manuel Description: The sensitivity of soil microbial respiration to warming (Q10) remains a major source of uncertainty surrounding the projections of soil carbon emissions to the atmosphere as the factors driving Q10 patterns across ecosystems have been assessed in isolation from each other. Here we report the results of a warming experiment using soils from 332 sites across all continents and major biomes to simultaneously evaluate…

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A simple method for cross-dating increment cores from living trees

Author: Yamaguchi, David K. Description: For many types of forest studies, it is essential to identify the exact years of formation of annual rings in increment cores taken from living trees. To accomplish this, dendrochronologists employ cross dating, which involves both ring counting and ring-width pattern matching, to ensure against counting error, or errors, caused by missing or false rings. To date, published accounts of the cross-dating process generally describe a graphical method for achieving cross dating, known as skeleton plotting. However, when working with cores from living trees, skeleton…

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Local Distrust and Regime Support: Sources and Effects of Political Trust in China

Author: Chen, Dan Description: Political trust is an important indicator of regime support. However, we have yet to fully understand the sources and consequence of varying levels of trust in specific political institutions. Difference in political trust at national and local levels is especially important for understanding authoritarian systems. Focusing on China, this article examines different levels of trust in the central and local governments. Building on existing research that consistently finds high central trust with lower local trust, this article investigates whether the trust sources differ and the consequence…

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Effects of social dominance orientation and right-wing authoritarianism on corrupt intention: The role of moral outrage

Author: Tan, Xuyun; Liu, Li; Zheng, Wenwen; Huang, Zhenwei Description: Previous research suggested that dominance orientation and authoritarianism may be associated with corruption, but little research has verified this assumption or uncovered its psychological processes. In this article, we examined empirically the relationships between social dominance orientation (SDO), right-wing authoritarianism (RWA) and corrupt intention and explored the mediating role of moral outrage on these relationships. A total of 677 college students participated in the study and completed measures of SDO, RWA, moral outrage and corrupt intention. Our findings demonstrated that…

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Media, Protest Diffusion, and Authoritarian Resilience

Author: Huang, Haifeng; Boranbay-Akan, Serra; Huang, Ling Description: Do authoritarian governments always censor news about protests to prevent unrest from spreading? Existing research on authoritarian politics stresses the danger that information spread within the society poses for a regime. In particular, media and Internet reports of social unrest are deemed to threaten authoritarian rule, as such reports may incite more protests and thus spread instability. We show that such reasoning is incomplete if social protests are targeted at local officials. Allowing media the freedom to report local protests may indeed…

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Sources of Corruption in Authoritarian Regimes

Author: Chang, Eric C. C.; Golden, Miriam A. Description: We study the determinants of corruption in a sample of 40-odd authoritarian polities at the turn of the 21st century. Recent studies have proposed several parallel mechanisms potentially relevant for variations in the extent of corruption in authoritarian regimes. We put these various theories into a unified empirical model in order to investigate the wide range of corruption observed in non-democratic political systems. We investigate the importance to variations in corruption in authoritarian countries of the type of group in power,…

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Modern Authoritarianism and Corruption

Author: Nisnevich, Yuliy Description: This paper focuses on the link between the modern authoritarianism and corruption. Even though corruption plays an important role in Communist regimes, post-colonial dictatorships and authoritarian monarchies, coercion – which is a traditional tool used by authoritarian rulers – remains the basis of these regimes. However, a new type of non-democratic regimes, which we call neoauthoritarian, has emerged since the last quarter of the XX century. The new regimes are based on a dynamic interplay between coercion and corruption. That interplay allows authoritarian rulers to bring…

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