Planning for Climate Migration in Great Lake Legacy Cities

Author: Berkel, Derek Van; Kalafatis, Scott; Gibbons, Beth; Naud, Matthew; Lemos, Maria Carmen Description: The possibility that climate change might make the Great Lakes region (GLR) a more attractive place for people to live has gained traction and attracted media attention. Compared with the dry Southwest, the storm-ridden Gulf region and the sea-level rise exposed East and West Coasts, the GLR may fare relatively favorably due to an abundance of natural resources and projected climate amenities. While the emergence and character of such migration is still uncertain, it is essential…

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Vulnerable City, recipient city, or climate destination? Towards a typology of domestic climate migration impacts in US cities

Author: Marandi, Anna; Main, Kelly Leilani Description: Globally, the impacts of climate change will uproot and displace millions of individuals, and American cities are on the frontline of these future population shifts. Our analysis of empirical documentation of migration factors as well as theoretical demographic models shows three predominate types of US cities affected by climate migration pathways: (1) vulnerable cities—those that will suffer significant losses in population and tax revenue; (2) recipient cities—those that serve as unsuspecting or unwilling “receiving communities” from sudden-onset disasters without preparation; and (3) climate…

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When nature rebels: international migration, climate change, and inequality

Author: Marchiori, Luca; Schumacher, Ingmar Description: We study climate change and international migration in a two-country overlapping generations model with endogenous climate change. Our main findings are that climate change increases migration; small impacts of climate change have significant impacts on the number of migrants; a laxer immigration policy increases long-run migration, aggravates climate change, and increases north-south inequality if climate change impacts are not too small; and a greener technology reduces emissions, long-run migration, and inequality if the migrants’ impact to overall climate change is large. The preference over…

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Synergistic effects of climate-related variables suggest future physiological impairment in a top oceanic predator

Author: Rosa, R.; Seibel, B.A. Description: By the end of this century, anthropogenic carbon dioxide (CO(2)) emissions are expected to decrease the surface ocean pH by as much as 0.3 unit. At the same time, the ocean is expected to warm with an associated expansion of the oxygen minimum layer (OML). Thus, there is a growing demand to understand the response of the marine biota to these global changes. We show that ocean acidification will substantially depress metabolic rates (31%) and activity levels (45%) in the jumbo squid, Dosidicus gigas,…

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Public Health and Mental Health Implications of Environmentally Induced Forced Migration

Author: Shultz, James M.; Rechkemmer, Andreas; Rai, Abha; McManus, Katherine T. Description: Climate change is increasingly forcing population displacement, better described by the phrase environmentally induced forced migration. Rising global temperatures, rising sea levels, increasing frequency and severity of natural disasters, and progressive depletion of life-sustaining resources are among the drivers that stimulate population mobility. Projections forecast that current trends will rapidly accelerate. This will lead to an estimated 200 million climate migrants by the year 2050 and create dangerous tipping points for public health and security. Among the public…

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Modeling migration patterns in the USA under sea level rise

Author: Robinson, C., Dilkina, B., & Moreno-Cruz, J. Description: Sea level rise in the United States will lead to large scale migration in the future. We propose a framework to examine future climate migration patterns using models of human migration. Our framework requires that we distinguish between historical versus climate driven migration and recognizes how the impacts of climate change can extend beyond the affected area. We apply our framework to simulate how migration, driven by sea level rise, differs from baseline migration patterns. Specifically, we couple a sea level…

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Sea level projections to AD2500 with a new generation of climate change scenarios

Author: Jevrejeva, S.; Moore, J.C.; Grinsted, A. Description: Sea level rise over the coming centuries is perhaps the most damaging side of rising temperature (Anthoff et al., 2009). The economic costs and social consequences of coastal flooding and forced migration will probably be one of the dominant impacts of global warming (Sugiyama et al., 2008). To date, however, few studies (Nicholls et al., 2008; Anthoff et al., 2009) on infrastructure and socio-economic planning include provision for multi-century and multi-metre rises in mean sea level. Here we use a physically plausible…

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Migration induced by sea-level rise could reshape the US population landscape

Author: Hauer, Mathew E. Description: Sea-level rise will impact heavily populated coastal areas, necessitating adaptation or migration. This study considers how potential migration away from affected areas will have a broader effect on the US population landscape. Subject headings: Climate change; Climate-change impacts; Projection and prediction; Sociology; Migration; Migrants Publication year: 2017 Journal or book title: Nature Climate Change Volume: 7 Issue: 5 Pages: 321-325 Find the full text: https://www.nature.com/articles/nclimate3271 Find more like this one (cited by): https://scholar.google.com/scholar?cites=14885731854761658755&as_sdt=1000005&sciodt=0,16&hl=en Serial number: 3850

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The uneven geography of research on “environmental migration”

Author: Piguet, Etienne; Kaenzig, Raoul; Guelat, Jeremie Description: Climate change and environmental hazards affect the entire world, but their interactions with–and consequences on–human migration are unevenly distributed geographically. Research on climate and migration have their own geographies which do not necessarily coincide. This paper critically confronts these two geographies by presenting the first detailed mapping of research in the field of environmentally induced migration. After a brief review of the geography of research on climate change, the paper presents an overview of nearly 50 years of case studies on the…

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The Determinants of Environmental Migrants’ Conflict Perception

Author: Koubi, Vally; Bohmelt, Tobias; Spilker, Gabriele; Schaffer, Lena Description: Migration is likely to be a key factor linking climate change and conflict. However, our understanding of the factors behind and consequences of migration is surprisingly limited. We take this shortcoming as a motivation for our research and study the relationship between environmental migration and conflict at the micro level. In particular, we focus on environmental migrants’ conflict perceptions. We contend that variation in migrants’ conflict perception can be explained by the type of environmental event people experienced in their…

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